A clear victory is predicted for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance in the Bihar assembly polls, with it set to win 147 seats in the 243-member house, according to a survey by Zee News and “Janta Ka Mood”.
The “grand alliance” of Janata Dal-United, Rashtriya Janata Dal and Congress is predicted to lag with just 64 seats.
There were 32 seats where fight would be very close, said the survey.
According to a press release, the NDA is predicted to get 53.8 percent votes and the grand alliance 40.2 percent votes. Others are expected to get six percent votes.
The survey said that NDA would do well in the first phase election for 49 seats on October 12 and is expected to get 53.8 percent of votes while the grand alliance is expected to get 40.1 percent of votes.
It said that the NDA has a clear lead over the grand alliance in the other four phases also, and is also likely to win maximum seats in the Maoist-affected areas.
“From Arrah to Sitamarhi, the NDA is likely to get 54.6 percent votes while the grand alliance 39.7 percent of votes,” the release said.
It said that in Nalanda, the home district of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, there is very close fight but NDA with an expected 48 percent votes has a slight edge over the grand alliance which is predicted to get 44 percent votes.
The survey said 35.9 percent voters from the Muslim community are expected to vote for NDA while the grand alliance was expected to garner 57.9 percent votes of the community.
It said 50.2 percent votes of the Yadav community would go with the grand alliance while NDA is expected to fetch 43.7 percent votes.
The release said that the survey was conducted in all 243 assembly segments on September 29 and 30.
It said that 35,000 respondents were approached on phone by Janta Ka Mood, a survey start-up by IIT students. It said margin of error was 0.6 percent.
Polling will be held in Bihar in five phases between October 12 and November 5. The counting will take place on November 8.